Contract
Transfers contract
2026-09-transfers-distributional-v0
The frozen vocabulary a prediction is written in: which roles exist, which metrics each role is asked about, and how the bands those metrics are answered on are built.
Frozen. This page is written once and never edited. A correction is a new version and a changelog entry naming what it replaced.
What it fixes
- Broad roles
- 8GK, CB, FB, DM, CM, AM, W, ST
- Macro families
- 4Goalkeeper, Defender, Midfield, Attack
- Scored roles
- 7Goalkeepers carry a mask but are not scored: the sources expose almost nothing goalkeeper-specific, and goals conceded ranks the defence rather than the keeper.
- Metrics across all masks
- 12
- Bands per metric
- 3–52 metrics carry their own ceiling.
- Minimum band mass
- 0.025A band thinner than this is merged away, so no band is too rare to be scored on.
- Eligible transfer types
- free, loan, permanent
- Excluded transfer types
- end_of_loan, unknown
Published runs that used it
Fetched live, because it changes every week. A score pinned to this version was computed under exactly the rules above.
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The rules in prose
These pages describe the current rules. Where they differ from this version, this version is what ran.