Reference pool

Premier League band grid

2026-09-epl-2024-2026-pool-v1

The percentile bands Premier League predictions are answered on, cut from prior seasons so that a band's width is its share of peer appearances — which is what makes the league base rate reachable from the request alone.

Frozen. This page is written once and never edited. A correction is a new version and a changelog entry naming what it replaced.

What it fixes

Competition
Premier League
Reference seasons
2024/2025, 2025/2026
Pooled appearances
22,608Player-matches the bands were cut from.
Orphaned appearances
451Appearances that could not be attached to a registry player, and so were excluded from the bands rather than guessed at.
Metrics
19
Band grids
152One per role and metric pair.
Complete
yes

Published runs that used it

Fetched live, because it changes every week. A score pinned to this version was computed under exactly the rules above.

Loading published runs…

The rules in prose

These pages describe the current rules. Where they differ from this version, this version is what ran.