Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

877 cases

Joël Monteiro

W · 27 · Serie A

Young BoysUS Lecce

permanent · 2026-08-31 · 26/27

Appearances
8
Last observed
2026-11-01
Predictions

+0.013

skill score on this case

Scored on
8 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricdribbles won1 / 4
Share of his 8 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2
3
4+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

dribbles won per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.013arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 9 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works