Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

877 cases

Carlos Baleba

DM · 22 · Premier League

BrightonManchester United

permanent · 2026-08-25 · 26/27

Appearances
4
Last observed
2026-10-31
Predictions

+0.033

skill score on this case

Scored on
4 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metrictackles won1 / 4
Share of his 4 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2
3-4
5+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

tackles won per match · axis to 80%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.033arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 5 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 4 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works