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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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877 cases

Ansu Fati

W · 23 · Ligue 1

BarcelonaAS Monaco

permanent · 2026-07-01 · 26/27

Appearances
3
Last observed
2026-10-25
Predictions

+0.445

skill score on this case

Scored on
3 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricdribbles won1 / 4
Share of his 3 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

dribbles won per match · axis to 80%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.445arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 4 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 3 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

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