Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

809 cases

Dani Ceballos

CM · 30 · LaLiga

Real MadridReal Betis Balompié

free · 2026-09-01 · 26/27

Appearances
1
Last observed
2026-09-14
Predictions

+0.108

skill score on this case

Scored on
1 appearance
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metrictotal passes1 / 4
Share of his 1 appearance in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-7
8-14
15-20
21-26
27-32
33-38
39-45
46-55
56+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

total passes per match · axis to 100%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.108arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 1 scored weekabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 1 appearance is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works