Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

877 cases

Fernando Calero

CB · 30 · LaLiga

EspanyolMálaga CF

free · 2026-07-14 · 26/27

Appearances
3
Last observed
2026-10-31
Predictions

-0.249

skill score on this case

Scored on
3 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricclearances1 / 4
Share of his 3 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-1
2-3
4-5
6-8
9+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

clearances per match · axis to 80%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.249arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 5 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 3 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works