Leaderboard Players Transfers · players
Was anyone right about him? Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.
40 cases that moved in the last scoring run
KK Konstantinos Karetsas AM · 18 · Bundesliga
Genk → Borussia Dortmund
permanent · 2026-08-03 · 26/27
Appearances 5
Last observed 2026-10-17 Predictions arena-gemini-3.7-flash× + compare
-0.612
skill score on this case
Scored on 3 appearances
Knew at lock 1 played Share of his 5 appearances in each band what happened league average predictedHover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.
key passes per match · axis to 60%
Skill score, week by week league base rate
-0.612 arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 6 scored weeks above 0 beats the league base rate
OD Ousmane Diomande CB · Premier League
next up · Ousmane Diomande