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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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40 cases that moved in the last scoring run

Luka Duric

CM · 23 · Bundesliga

HoffenheimSC Paderborn 07

permanent · 2026-07-01 · 26/27

Appearances
1
Last observed
2026-09-12
Predictions

+0.360

skill score on this case

Scored on
1 appearance
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metrictotal passes1 / 4
Share of his 1 appearance in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-7
8-15
16-21
22-27
28-32
33-37
38-43
44-52
53-74
75+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

total passes per match · axis to 100%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.360arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 3 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 1 appearance is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works