Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

877 cases

Mio Backhaus

GK · 22 · Bundesliga

Werder BremenSC Freiburg

permanent · 2026-07-01 · 26/27

Appearances
9
Last observed
2026-11-08
Predictions

-0.150

skill score on this case

Scored on
7 appearances
Knew at lock
1 played
Metricsaves1 / 3
Share of his 9 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-1
2
3
4-5
6+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

saves per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.150arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 11 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works