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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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40 cases that moved in the last scoring run

Mio Backhaus

GK · 22 · Bundesliga

Werder BremenSC Freiburg

permanent · 2026-07-01 · 26/27

Appearances
4
Last observed
2026-09-19
Predictions

-0.022

skill score on this case

Scored on
2 appearances
Knew at lock
1 played
Metricsaves1 / 3
Share of his 4 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-1
2
3
4-5
6+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

saves per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.022arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 3 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 4 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works