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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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40 cases that moved in the last scoring run

Eric Martel

DM · 24 · Bundesliga

1.FC Köln1.FSV Mainz 05

free · 2026-07-01 · 26/27

Appearances
1
Last observed
2026-09-19
Predictions

-0.074

skill score on this case

Scored on
1 appearance
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metrictackles won1 / 4
Share of his 1 appearance in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2-3
4+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

tackles won per match · axis to 100%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.074arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 1 appearance is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works