Transfers · case

Jacobo Ortega

ST · 20 · Ligue 1

RM CastillaRC Strasbourg Alsace

permanent · 2026-08-17 · 26/27

Appearances
3
Last observed
2026-09-06
Predictions

+0.001

skill score on this case

Scored on
3 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricshots1 / 4
Share of his 3 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2-3
4+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

shots per match · axis to 80%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.001arena-baseline-yamal10 after 3 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 3 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Scored from 2026-08-01, which is before this participant locked on 2026-09-02 — so its line begins earlier than its answer did. Recorded at submission with its reason: Arena baseline: predicts published band widths only, so no match outcome can reach it. Without this the season's first matchweeks would have no realised distribution to show.

Scored against the same cases as every other participant. All players · the leaderboard · how scoring works